How risky are high-yield bonds?
Yes, high-yield corporate bonds are more volatile and, therefore, riskier than investment-grade and government-issued bonds. However, these securities can also provide significant advantages when analyzed in-depth. It all comes down to money.
High-yield, or "junk" bonds are those debt securities issued by companies with less certain prospects and a greater probability of default. These bonds are inherently more risky than bonds issued by more credit-worthy companies, but with greater risk also comes greater potential for return.
A high-yield corporate bond is a type of corporate bond that offers a higher rate of interest because of its higher risk of default. When companies with a greater estimated default risk issue bonds, they may be unable to obtain an investment-grade bond credit rating.
High-yield or junk bonds typically carry the highest risk among all types of bonds. These bonds are issued by companies or entities with lower credit ratings or creditworthiness, making them more prone to default.
High-yield corporate bonds
Investor takeaway: We're still cautious on high-yield bonds, but acknowledge that if a recession is avoided, high-yield bonds may still perform well despite low spreads. Over the short run, expect volatility and potential price declines as defaults continue to pile up.
High-yield bonds face higher default rates and more volatility than investment-grade bonds, and they have more interest rate risk than stocks. Emerging market debt and convertible bonds are the main alternatives to high-yield bonds in the high-risk debt category.
High-yield bonds tend to perform best when growth trends are favorable, investors are confident, defaults are low or falling, and yield spreads provide room for added appreciation.
Default risk: There's a risk with any bond that the issuing company might not be able to meet its obligations. However, the risks of default are typically higher for companies that issue high-yield bonds. Interest rate risk: Bond prices generally move in the opposite direction of interest rates.
Bonds have an inverse relationship to interest rates. When the cost of borrowing money rises (when interest rates rise), bond prices usually fall, and vice-versa.
Interest rate changes are the primary culprit when bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) lose value. As interest rates rise, the prices of existing bonds fall, which impacts the value of the ETFs holding these assets.
Can you lose money investing in bonds?
Because bond funds do not have a defined maturity date, and the investor chooses when to purchase and when to sell, as prices fluctuate due to interest rate changes and other factors, it is possible that an investor may receive less principal back than initially invested.
After bonds are initially issued, their worth will fluctuate like a stock's would. If you're holding the bond to maturity, the fluctuations won't matter—your interest payments and face value won't change.
Given the numerous reasons a company's business can decline, stocks are typically riskier than bonds. However, with that higher risk can come higher returns. The market's average annual return is about 10%, not accounting for inflation.
Meketa Investment Group recommends that most diversified long-term pools consider allocating to high yield bonds, and if they do so, between five and ten percent of total assets in favorable markets, and maintaining a toehold investment even in adverse environments to permit rapid re-allocation should valuations shift.
Looking at the asset class's historical performance leads us to believe that high yield is poised to produce a positive return in 2024, albeit not as robust as that experienced in 2023. We believe that the economy is not rolling over and that a recession is likely to be at least six months away.
The short answer is bonds tend to be less volatile than stocks and often perform better during recessions than other financial assets.
Do Bonds Lose Money in a Recession? Bonds can perform well in a recession as investors tend to flock to bonds rather than stocks in times of economic downturns. This is because stocks are riskier as they are more volatile when markets are not doing well.
Treasuries are generally considered"risk-free" since the federal government guarantees them and has never (yet) defaulted. These government bonds are often best for investors seeking a safe haven for their money, particularly during volatile market periods. They offer high liquidity due to an active secondary market.
The 90/10 rule in investing is a comment made by Warren Buffett regarding asset allocation. The rule stipulates investing 90% of one's investment capital toward low-cost stock-based index funds and the remainder 10% to short-term government bonds.
Inflation is a bond's worst enemy. Inflation erodes the purchasing power of a bond's future cash flows. Typically, bonds are fixed-rate investments. If inflation is increasing (or rising prices), the return on a bond is reduced in real terms, meaning adjusted for inflation.
What is the best high-yield of bonds to buy?
Rank | Fund | Net expense ratio |
---|---|---|
1 | Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund Investor Shares (VWEHX) | 0.23% |
2 | T. Rowe Price High Yield Fund (PRHYX) | 0.70% |
3 | PGIM High Yield Fund Class A (PBHAX) | 0.75% |
4 | Fidelity Capital & Income Fund (fa*gIX) | 0.93% |
High Yield Bond Strategy. The strategy pursues total return, a high level of current income, and capital appreciation by investing in below-investment-grade debt securities across the credit-quality spectrum and capital structure.
As for fixed income, we expect a strong bounce-back year to play out over the course of 2024. When bond yields are high, the income earned is often enough to offset most price fluctuations. In fact, for the 10-year Treasury to deliver a negative return in 2024, the yield would have to rise to 5.3 percent.
US High Yield B Effective Yield is at 8.05%, compared to 8.04% the previous market day and 8.51% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 8.49%.
You don't take on any risk depositing your cash into a high-yield savings account that is FDIC-insured up to $250,000. Your money is safe if something were to happen, such as a run on the bank. The money sitting in your high-yield savings is accessible if you ever need to tap into it.
References
- https://etfmarket.cboe.ca/en/news/high-interest-cash-etfs-all-you-need-to-know-heading-into-2024
- https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0113/7-easy-to-understand-etfs-to-replace-a-savings-account.aspx
- https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/high_yield_bond.asp
- https://www.etf.com/sections/etf-basics/why-jepi-attractive-nervous-investors
- https://www.investopedia.com/dividend-etf-vs-s-and-p-500-7968097
- https://www.pimco.com.sg/en-sg/resources/education/understanding-high-yield-bonds
- https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stockdividend.asp
- https://www.dividend.com/dividend-education/how-to-spot-a-dividend-value-trap/
- https://www.themarkethustle.com/news/jepi-vs-jepq-which-etf-is-better
- https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/dividend-yield/
- https://etfdb.com/compare/dividend-yield/
- https://www.thebalancemoney.com/when-is-the-best-time-to-buy-high-yield-bonds-417120
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/much-money-live-entirely-off-204845865.html
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/high-dividend-etfs
- https://www.stoddardfinancial.net/dividend-versus-growth-investments/
- https://www.schwab.com/etfs/types/dividend-etfs
- https://www.simplysafedividends.com/world-of-dividends/posts/3-top-25-high-dividend-stocks-yielding-4-to-10
- https://www.wintwealth.com/blog/what-are-the-risks-of-bonds/
- https://stockanalysis.com/etf/jepi/dividend/
- https://www.allspringglobal.com/investments/fixed-income/strategies/us-high-yield-bond/
- https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/18/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html
- https://www.experian.com/blogs/ask-experian/reasons-to-avoid-dividend-stocks/
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/bonds/08/lose-money-bonds-losses.asp
- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/best-high-dividend-etfs
- https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_high_yield_b_effective_yield
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4674708-jepi-three-important-recent-developments
- https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/equities/investing-in-stocks-with-dividends-vs-stocks-without-dividends/
- https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/high-yield-ideas/are-jepi-investors-learning-hard-way-what-this-etf-actually-is
- https://meketa.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/High-Yield-Bonds-FINAL.pdf
- https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/111414/how-can-i-find-good-investments-among-lower-rated-bonds.asp
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/is-jepi-a-compelling-etf-as-investors-turn-risk-averse
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/24/you-can-do-better-than-sp-500-buy-this-etf/
- https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/investment-products/mutual-funds/bond-vs-bond-funds
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/11/due-dilligence-on-dividends.asp
- https://www.thestreet.com/etffocus/dividend-ideas/10-stock-etfs-that-pay-monthly-dividends
- https://www.tipranks.com/etf/jepi/technical-analysis
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor-hub/article/best-vanguard-etfs-to-buy-retirement-investing/
- https://www.sec.gov/files/ib_high-yield.pdf
- https://www.investopedia.com/why-bond-etfs-go-down-8303231
- https://www.finra.org/investors/insights/what-to-know-high-yield-bonds
- https://www.robomarkets.com/blog/stock-market/top-stocks/top-10-monthly-dividend-stocks/
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4665778-jepi-forget-the-hype-it-is-good-but-not-great
- https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc404
- https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/021615/what-safest-investment.asp
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/07/13/ask-a-fool-is-a-10-dividend-yield-too-good-to-be-t.aspx
- https://www.dividend.com/dividend-education/what-is-an-ideal-payout-ratio/
- https://www.bankrate.com/investing/best-high-yield-bond-funds/
- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/high-yield-etfs
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4635718-3-reasons-avoid-jepi
- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/best-dividend-etfs-to-buy-now
- https://www.wealthfront.com/explore/461/jepi
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/bonds/09/bond-market-interest-rates.asp
- https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/types-of-stocks/dividend-stocks/how-to-invest-in-dividend-stocks/
- https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/04/20/vanguard-etf-can-turn-400-to-18900-annual-dividend/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-high-yielding-dividend-stocks-144500902.html
- https://www.cnn.com/cnn-underscored/money/best-high-yield-bond-funds
- https://www.usatoday.com/money/blueprint/investing/are-bonds-recession-proof/
- https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/corporate-bond-outlook-dash-caution
- https://www.etfcentral.com/news/why-is-the-jpmorgan-premium-equity-etf-jepi-so-popular-with-retail-investors
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/121815/buffetts-9010-asset-allocation-sound.asp
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/how-to-invest-dividend-stocks
- https://www.cnbc.com/select/pros-and-cons-high-yield-savings-accounts/
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4664847-jepi-market-volatility-may-affect-dividend-income-not-for-everyone
- https://www.muzinich.com/opinions/2024-01-16-us-high-yield-2024-outlook
- https://wtop.com/news/2023/12/7-best-funds-to-hold-in-a-roth-ira-7/
- https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/JEPI/SCHD
- https://www.etf.com/sections/etf-basics/what-is-dividend-etf-investors-guide
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/stocks-vs-bonds
- https://www.etf.com/sections/etf-basics/dividend-etfs-vs-stocks-comparison-guide
- https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/investment-products/etf/drawbacks-of-etfs
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/bonds/05/junkbondrisk.asp
- https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/best-monthly-dividend-stocks-to-buy-now
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4652407-jepi-could-become-a-13-percent-yielding-rich-retirement-dream-in-2024
- https://www.etftrends.com/monthly-income-channel/equity-income-etf-showdown-spyi-vs-jepi/
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4681819-jepi-not-working-out-as-expected
- https://www.rbcwealthmanagement.com/en-asia/insights/global-insight-2024-outlook-highlights-bonds-are-back
- https://www.revenue.land/jepi-review
- https://www.trackinsight.com/en/education/how-many-etfs-should-you-own
- https://www.aaii.com/journal/article/dividend-safety-signs-and-warning-flags
- https://seekingalpha.com/article/4681714-jepi-probably-better-as-a-hedge-than-your-main-play
- https://www.financialtechwiz.com/post/is-jepi-a-good-investment/
- https://portfolioslab.com/tools/stock-comparison/JEPI/SPY
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/090715/best-places-find-highdividend-yield-stocks.asp
- https://finance.yahoo.com/news/much-coca-cola-pay-dividends-152100760.html
- https://www.pimco.com/gbl/en/resources/education/understanding-high-yield-bonds
- https://www.shiksha.com/online-courses/articles/dividend-yield-calculation-advantages-and-disadvantages/
- https://medium.com/@Levente22/7-proven-ways-to-make-5-000-9-000-per-month-in-passive-income-1aafbf025154
- https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/why-interest-rates-have-inverse-relationship-bond-prices/
- https://www.stash.com/learn/how-much-should-i-be-investing/
- https://www.suredividend.com/get-rich-dividends/
- https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/investment-products/etf/dividends-on-etfs
- https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0812/how-to-live-off-your-dividends.aspx
- https://investor.vanguard.com/investor-resources-education/understanding-investment-types/what-is-a-bond